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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.80vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.97+3.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+0.22vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+2.07vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.96-1.41vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.21vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.59vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy2.0417.3%1st Place
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5.26Old Dominion University0.978.7%1st Place
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3.22Georgetown University2.2022.2%1st Place
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6.07Fordham University0.715.9%1st Place
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3.59Cornell University1.9619.2%1st Place
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5.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.9%1st Place
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5.69George Washington University0.937.3%1st Place
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5.41University of Pennsylvania1.167.4%1st Place
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6.17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Eva Blauvelt | 17.3% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Gianna Dewey | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% |
Piper Holthus | 22.2% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 21.9% |
Winborne Majette | 19.2% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Elizabeth Starck | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.8% |
Avery Canavan | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.7% |
Adra Ivancich | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.9% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.