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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+3.65vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+4.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.88+3.38vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+5.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+1.92vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.48+2.12vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.87+3.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.68vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.29+3.86vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.63-2.57vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-3.60vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-6.25vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.50-0.68vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-3.49vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.90-0.80vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-7.04vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-8.55vs Predicted
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19George Washington University2.23-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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11.91University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.86Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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13.32Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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15.2Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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13.83George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 13.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alex Cook | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Zacher | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 16.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 31.4% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Meredith Carroll | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.