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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+4.94vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.91+2.88vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.14+4.36vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.65+1.82vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47+7.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.36vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.12+0.56vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.11-0.58vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.49+0.54vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.17-2.62vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-3.67vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.70-6.40vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland1.00-1.81vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.66-5.03vs Predicted
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15Ohio University-0.15-0.94vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.40-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.88College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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7.36Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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12.68Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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7.56Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.42Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.38College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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7.33Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.6Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
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14.06Ohio University-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.9Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shannon | 15.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 22.9% | 18.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kiener | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| George White | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Nicole Simon | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| Drake Hayes | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Nick Maude | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 19.5% | 46.6% |
| Kurban Ali | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.