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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.49+8.50vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+4.00vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.17+4.32vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.14+3.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.12+2.49vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+1.44vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.65-1.13vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70-2.57vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.47+3.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.66-0.88vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland1.00+0.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.63vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.11-5.53vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.91-9.16vs Predicted
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15Ohio University-0.15-0.96vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.40-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.0North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.32College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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7.53Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.49Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.44Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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5.43Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.58Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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7.47Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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4.84College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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14.04Ohio University-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.94Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George White | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Scott Harris | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Simon | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| TJ Danilek | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Chris Kiener | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 18.1% |
| Drake Hayes | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Michael Bisson | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Shannon | 14.4% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 19.1% | 46.7% |
| Kurban Ali | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 17.1% | 23.7% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.