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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+4.99vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.17+5.22vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.65+2.70vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.91+1.04vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.49+4.65vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.12+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.66+2.16vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16-0.75vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.70-3.47vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.11-2.40vs Predicted
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11Clemson University2.14-3.64vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland1.00-0.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.74vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.47-1.43vs Predicted
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15Ohio University-0.15-0.92vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.40-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.22College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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5.04College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.54Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
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7.25Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.53Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.6Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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7.36Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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12.57Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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14.08Ohio University-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.92Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Simon | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George White | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Chris Kiener | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Drake Hayes | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| TJ Danilek | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Bisson | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 8.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 20.1% |
| Nick Maude | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 20.7% | 45.6% |
| Kurban Ali | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 17.2% | 23.1% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.