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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+4.21vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.12+4.99vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+2.71vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.17+3.05vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.14+1.99vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.91-1.25vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.47+4.97vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.65-2.69vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.16-2.10vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.11-2.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.13vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.49-2.97vs Predicted
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13Ohio University-0.15+0.42vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.35-0.21vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.29-2.48vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.40-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.71North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.05College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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6.99Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.75College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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11.97Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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6.9Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.2Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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9.03Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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13.42Ohio University-0.150.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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12.29Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Simon | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shannon | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 10.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| George White | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Nick Maude | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 27.6% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 35.7% |
| Katey Hayes | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 14.6% |
| Kurban Ali | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.