← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.47+10.81vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.81vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.91+1.66vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University2.14+3.14vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.17+1.86vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.70-0.67vs Predicted
-
7Washington College2.11+0.23vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.49+0.94vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin2.65-3.64vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.16-3.01vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University2.54-5.25vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University2.12-4.92vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.29-0.56vs Predicted
-
14University of Maryland-0.35-0.19vs Predicted
-
15Ohio University-0.15-1.48vs Predicted
-
16Florida State University0.40-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.81Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
-
6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
-
4.66College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
-
7.14Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.86College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
-
5.33Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.23Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
-
8.94Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
-
5.36University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
-
6.99Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
5.75North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
-
7.08Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
-
12.44University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
-
13.81University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
-
13.52Ohio University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
12.28Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 8.6% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shannon | 16.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Simon | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.8% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| George White | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katey Hayes | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 14.1% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 35.9% |
| Nick Maude | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 30.1% |
| Kurban Ali | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.