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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.14+6.13vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+5.12vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+2.41vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.91+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.65+0.65vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11+1.44vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.12+0.36vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.17-0.99vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.49+0.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.66-2.16vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-0.15+1.65vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.47-0.67vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.35+0.02vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University2.54-9.03vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.40-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.12Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.41Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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7.44Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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7.36Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.01College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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13.65Ohio University-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.33Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.97North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.57Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Danilek | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Chris Kiener | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicole Simon | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| George White | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Drake Hayes | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Nick Maude | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 24.3% | 30.8% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 12.9% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 22.2% | 39.3% |
| Scott Harris | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.