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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.43vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.26+3.36vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82+1.11vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40-0.89vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.16-2.19vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98-2.78vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5716.4%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.5%1st Place
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6.36Old Dominion University1.264.7%1st Place
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5.11George Washington University1.829.9%1st Place
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4.11Georgetown University2.4016.3%1st Place
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5.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.4%1st Place
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4.81University of Pennsylvania2.1611.5%1st Place
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5.22Fordham University1.989.2%1st Place
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5.42Cornell University1.799.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Owen Hennessey | 16.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
Jack Welburn | 14.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
Blake Goodwin | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 29.0% |
Tyler Wood | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 16.3% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 14.6% |
Jackson McAliley | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% |
Jacob Zils | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% |
Sophia Devling | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.