Race 12A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Patrick Shannon 15.8% 16.3% 14.3% 10.6% 10.0% 8.1% 7.6% 5.8% 3.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
William Keenan 5.8% 6.9% 7.3% 7.0% 5.5% 7.2% 8.0% 8.6% 10.3% 9.0% 10.3% 7.6% 5.3% 1.2%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 12.6% 13.8% 9.9% 12.5% 8.9% 9.5% 8.6% 8.4% 6.4% 4.1% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 6.0% 8.1% 6.2% 7.7% 9.1% 9.4% 8.0% 7.5% 9.8% 9.8% 7.3% 5.9% 4.1% 1.1%
Robert Gruskos 2.8% 2.8% 4.8% 3.5% 5.2% 5.0% 5.6% 7.1% 7.7% 9.5% 11.2% 15.4% 13.2% 6.2%
Christian Spencer 11.8% 9.9% 12.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.8% 9.5% 7.4% 5.4% 5.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Drake Hayes 5.0% 5.5% 5.9% 5.2% 6.9% 5.9% 7.6% 7.5% 9.2% 9.3% 11.4% 11.4% 7.0% 2.2%
Matthew Kickhafer 7.4% 8.6% 8.9% 6.3% 8.8% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 7.9% 7.7% 7.9% 6.2% 2.8% 1.2%
Kurban Ali 1.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 4.3% 6.9% 13.7% 27.6% 29.8%
Scott Harris 10.4% 10.6% 8.8% 12.2% 10.6% 9.6% 8.5% 8.7% 6.8% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Nicole Simon 8.5% 6.2% 6.8% 8.4% 9.4% 9.4% 7.2% 8.7% 8.6% 10.1% 6.4% 6.0% 3.5% 0.8%
George White 3.6% 3.1% 5.1% 3.9% 5.6% 6.0% 6.3% 7.6% 9.8% 10.1% 11.9% 11.7% 10.2% 5.1%
Chris Kiener 7.9% 6.6% 7.4% 8.2% 7.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.4% 8.4% 8.1% 6.9% 6.4% 2.9% 0.7%
Nick Maude 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 3.0% 3.2% 5.5% 8.2% 20.5% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.