Race 13A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 13.2% 13.2% 12.7% 10.2% 10.9% 8.4% 8.8% 6.7% 4.7% 4.7% 3.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Patrick Shannon 17.9% 14.3% 14.3% 11.2% 10.2% 10.2% 7.1% 5.2% 4.2% 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 6.4% 8.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.0% 8.1% 7.8% 8.9% 10.3% 9.5% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 0.3%
Christian Spencer 10.6% 13.1% 11.6% 11.2% 9.6% 10.2% 7.9% 7.9% 6.1% 5.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Scott Harris 9.2% 10.5% 10.7% 11.3% 10.3% 8.7% 9.5% 6.9% 8.4% 5.1% 5.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
William Keenan 5.3% 5.6% 4.9% 8.0% 6.3% 7.5% 7.6% 9.9% 8.9% 9.4% 9.8% 9.0% 6.0% 1.8%
Stewart Gurnell 7.7% 8.4% 8.0% 7.3% 8.5% 8.3% 9.7% 8.7% 8.6% 9.4% 6.8% 5.7% 2.0% 0.9%
Matthew Kickhafer 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.1% 8.1% 7.9% 9.3% 8.8% 7.6% 7.2% 7.9% 6.5% 3.3% 0.7%
Robert Gruskos 4.3% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 4.0% 5.0% 5.4% 7.5% 8.4% 10.1% 12.4% 15.8% 12.6% 5.1%
Drake Hayes 4.2% 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 6.7% 6.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.7% 9.7% 9.2% 13.1% 8.8% 3.4%
George White 3.7% 3.1% 3.6% 4.7% 5.8% 6.9% 6.3% 6.8% 8.6% 10.7% 12.2% 11.4% 11.1% 5.1%
Nicole Simon 6.8% 7.1% 8.6% 8.1% 10.3% 8.1% 8.5% 9.7% 9.3% 7.0% 6.9% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0%
Kurban Ali 2.0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 4.0% 5.4% 6.8% 12.9% 27.5% 28.0%
Nick Maude 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 4.4% 5.1% 6.7% 19.2% 53.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.