Race 14A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christian Spencer 12.1% 12.7% 11.9% 11.0% 11.1% 9.0% 7.8% 6.5% 6.7% 4.3% 3.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Nicole Simon 8.1% 8.8% 8.5% 9.2% 8.2% 7.5% 10.3% 7.4% 9.4% 8.4% 6.0% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9%
Chris Kiener 6.8% 8.4% 8.6% 7.3% 6.6% 8.1% 8.8% 10.0% 7.7% 9.2% 8.3% 6.4% 2.4% 1.4%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 12.0% 12.8% 11.0% 11.8% 11.1% 9.4% 8.3% 6.5% 6.3% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Patrick Shannon 14.1% 14.0% 15.6% 13.0% 8.8% 9.4% 6.4% 7.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
George White 3.8% 4.3% 3.7% 3.1% 4.7% 5.1% 6.9% 6.5% 9.9% 9.9% 11.8% 13.9% 11.5% 4.9%
Kurban Ali 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 1.9% 3.7% 3.5% 4.6% 4.7% 7.7% 12.4% 26.8% 25.7%
Scott Harris 12.1% 11.0% 10.1% 9.9% 10.0% 9.5% 9.2% 6.1% 6.7% 6.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Matthew Kickhafer 8.2% 6.0% 6.4% 9.4% 8.1% 9.1% 8.9% 10.2% 7.8% 8.4% 8.1% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8%
Stewart Gurnell 6.9% 6.3% 7.5% 7.8% 8.7% 9.7% 7.9% 7.4% 8.8% 9.0% 8.4% 5.8% 4.7% 1.1%
William Keenan 6.1% 5.5% 4.7% 6.8% 7.7% 7.7% 7.0% 9.5% 8.7% 10.8% 9.1% 8.3% 6.5% 1.6%
Robert Gruskos 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 3.4% 4.9% 5.7% 5.4% 8.3% 7.9% 9.1% 11.3% 14.5% 13.0% 6.4%
Drake Hayes 4.8% 4.8% 5.5% 5.0% 5.9% 6.4% 7.9% 8.9% 7.8% 9.0% 12.5% 10.4% 8.1% 3.0%
Nick Maude 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 2.6% 2.5% 5.3% 9.4% 17.9% 53.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.