Race 15A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Patrick Shannon 16.5% 16.9% 13.2% 11.8% 11.4% 7.2% 6.8% 6.4% 3.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Matthew Kickhafer 8.3% 8.5% 9.7% 9.4% 8.1% 8.0% 9.5% 10.2% 9.2% 7.9% 4.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5%
Nicole Simon 7.4% 9.1% 10.1% 6.5% 8.0% 8.8% 10.7% 9.1% 8.6% 7.7% 8.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Christian Spencer 12.0% 13.5% 11.7% 12.1% 9.2% 10.2% 7.9% 7.4% 5.9% 5.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 6.4% 7.0% 8.3% 9.6% 8.2% 9.3% 8.6% 9.4% 9.0% 9.6% 7.0% 4.2% 3.1% 0.3%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 12.3% 11.8% 12.8% 11.6% 11.9% 9.0% 8.3% 6.8% 6.3% 4.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Katey Hayes 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.7% 3.9% 3.0% 5.2% 5.8% 8.0% 17.5% 21.6% 24.8%
George White 4.7% 4.4% 4.4% 5.8% 4.9% 6.2% 6.0% 7.9% 9.6% 11.0% 11.8% 12.3% 7.9% 3.1%
Scott Harris 11.1% 11.1% 9.0% 10.1% 11.5% 11.4% 8.7% 8.2% 6.4% 6.0% 3.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Robert Gruskos 3.5% 2.7% 4.1% 3.5% 4.8% 6.2% 7.1% 6.5% 9.5% 9.9% 15.2% 13.7% 9.0% 4.3%
William Keenan 6.4% 5.3% 4.9% 6.9% 8.1% 7.5% 7.8% 10.2% 9.9% 10.9% 9.2% 7.9% 4.0% 1.0%
Stewart Gurnell 7.1% 7.0% 7.7% 8.5% 8.9% 10.0% 9.9% 8.3% 8.9% 8.4% 7.2% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7%
Nick Maude 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% 3.3% 7.0% 9.7% 22.5% 44.4%
Kurban Ali 1.5% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.6% 1.9% 3.2% 4.9% 4.3% 6.0% 10.5% 16.9% 24.1% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.