Race 16A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Scott Harris 10.3% 13.5% 11.4% 11.1% 10.4% 8.6% 9.0% 7.6% 7.1% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 14.8% 12.1% 12.7% 12.3% 9.3% 9.9% 10.5% 7.2% 4.4% 2.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Patrick Shannon 17.4% 16.1% 13.1% 10.8% 10.6% 9.9% 7.3% 5.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Nicole Simon 7.2% 7.2% 9.5% 8.6% 7.4% 10.7% 9.5% 9.5% 9.0% 6.9% 7.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.3%
Matthew Kickhafer 6.4% 7.8% 7.4% 8.1% 10.8% 9.6% 9.4% 9.1% 8.9% 8.6% 7.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.7%
Stewart Gurnell 6.9% 6.2% 8.2% 6.6% 9.9% 9.0% 9.0% 9.7% 10.0% 7.8% 8.3% 6.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Robert Gruskos 3.5% 3.7% 5.4% 5.2% 5.4% 5.9% 6.0% 7.0% 9.5% 11.8% 13.5% 11.8% 8.4% 2.9%
Chris Kiener 8.1% 8.3% 8.0% 8.2% 8.8% 7.3% 8.6% 9.6% 9.6% 8.4% 6.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.2%
Christian Spencer 12.1% 12.5% 10.6% 12.2% 10.5% 10.1% 8.6% 8.0% 6.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Kurban Ali 1.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 4.7% 7.6% 10.1% 15.8% 23.6% 23.2%
William Keenan 5.8% 5.5% 5.4% 7.8% 7.7% 8.1% 8.4% 8.9% 9.1% 11.6% 9.4% 7.3% 4.4% 0.6%
Katey Hayes 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 2.7% 3.7% 7.2% 8.7% 16.5% 25.0% 25.2%
George White 4.4% 4.3% 4.2% 5.3% 4.9% 6.1% 7.0% 9.5% 9.1% 11.6% 12.9% 10.8% 7.5% 2.4%
Nick Maude 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.7% 3.5% 4.3% 6.5% 11.3% 21.0% 43.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.