Race 1B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Patrick Eaton 13.7% 13.2% 11.8% 12.0% 10.4% 8.9% 7.5% 6.1% 6.0% 3.6% 3.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Bartel 12.4% 13.2% 11.0% 11.6% 9.9% 8.0% 7.5% 6.5% 7.2% 4.9% 3.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
David Perez 6.2% 6.1% 6.2% 6.3% 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 8.4% 8.3% 9.8% 8.7% 7.3% 4.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Ciara Dorsay 4.0% 5.5% 5.4% 6.1% 6.7% 6.5% 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 9.6% 8.8% 9.2% 7.5% 6.4% 2.3% 0.4%
Chris Robertson 5.2% 4.6% 6.5% 5.9% 7.1% 6.7% 7.3% 8.5% 8.3% 7.8% 9.7% 8.1% 7.5% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Adam Larson 8.9% 9.1% 10.9% 9.7% 9.1% 10.9% 7.7% 7.2% 5.9% 6.7% 5.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 10.1% 9.8% 7.3% 10.0% 9.3% 8.5% 8.2% 8.8% 6.6% 8.0% 5.2% 4.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Mateo Rodriguez 15.0% 12.7% 13.8% 11.7% 9.0% 10.2% 8.7% 5.3% 5.4% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Gruskos 5.0% 5.8% 6.3% 5.4% 5.7% 7.9% 6.8% 8.1% 10.2% 7.2% 8.9% 7.5% 7.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6%
Caelan Watts 6.1% 6.6% 7.1% 5.9% 8.5% 8.2% 9.9% 9.7% 8.2% 7.9% 7.2% 6.4% 4.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Kiera Oreardon 5.8% 5.8% 5.4% 6.7% 6.4% 6.3% 7.5% 6.8% 7.9% 8.8% 8.9% 9.7% 5.6% 5.7% 2.4% 0.3%
Andrew Vernon 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.7% 4.4% 4.5% 6.1% 7.2% 8.4% 13.0% 18.3% 14.1% 8.8%
Siri Schantz 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 5.6% 7.3% 11.0% 27.2% 36.2%
Katherine Byrnes 2.2% 1.8% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 2.4% 3.4% 4.6% 5.3% 5.9% 7.7% 8.8% 15.9% 14.9% 15.1% 5.2%
Cole Daitch 3.3% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 4.8% 5.6% 5.9% 6.5% 7.1% 8.0% 11.5% 14.0% 11.8% 8.2% 1.6%
James Corckran 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 3.0% 4.7% 11.3% 24.3% 45.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.