← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.24+4.22vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+4.07vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University2.01+2.97vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.39+4.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland0.80+5.02vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.53+1.62vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.31-1.82vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.04vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University2.38-4.11vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University1.65-2.72vs Predicted
-
11Clemson University1.36-2.90vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston1.40-4.01vs Predicted
-
13Washington College0.23-1.34vs Predicted
-
14Ohio University-0.79-0.09vs Predicted
-
15Tulane University0.32-3.48vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech-1.02-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.22University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
-
6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
-
5.97North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
8.19Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
-
10.02University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
-
7.62Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
-
5.18College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.96University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
-
4.89Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.28Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
-
8.1Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
-
7.99College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
-
11.66Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
13.91Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
-
11.52Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
-
14.42Virginia Tech-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Robertson | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cole Daitch | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| David Perez | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Eaton | 13.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Gruskos | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Vernon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 7.2% |
| Siri Schantz | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 13.0% | 28.3% | 33.7% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 6.6% |
| James Corckran | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 23.5% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.