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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+7.39vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+5.82vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.88+4.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.48+4.31vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.36-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+3.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+3.96vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.87+2.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70-2.04vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.71vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-1.46vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-0.06vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.99vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-5.58vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.29-2.12vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.74-9.09vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.23-3.86vs Predicted
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19Tulane University1.90-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.82Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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5.55Harvard University4.360.2%1st Place
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10.04University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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11.96University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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12.94Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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13.88Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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14.14George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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14.97Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Alex Cook | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Kopp | 15.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 17.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 18.6% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.