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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.82vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+0.20vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.96-0.44vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.10vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71+0.04vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.97-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.72vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy2.0416.8%1st Place
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5.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.6%1st Place
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3.2Georgetown University2.2022.8%1st Place
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3.56Cornell University1.9619.4%1st Place
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6.1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.1%1st Place
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6.04Fordham University0.716.7%1st Place
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5.38Old Dominion University0.978.8%1st Place
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5.28University of Pennsylvania1.167.8%1st Place
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5.81George Washington University0.936.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Eva Blauvelt | 16.8% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
Elizabeth Starck | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
Piper Holthus | 22.8% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Winborne Majette | 19.4% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 21.3% |
Lizzie Cochran | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 21.9% |
Gianna Dewey | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.5% |
Adra Ivancich | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
Avery Canavan | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.