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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.31+3.89vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.53+5.28vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+2.83vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.36+4.04vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.40+2.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+0.06vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.65+0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.24-2.95vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-0.79+4.57vs Predicted
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10Florida State University2.38-5.16vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.39-3.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.36-4.11vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.23-1.75vs Predicted
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14Tulane University0.32-3.04vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-1.02-0.89vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.75-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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7.28Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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5.83North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.04Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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7.05Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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13.57Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
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4.84Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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11.25Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.96Tulane University0.320.0%1st Place
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14.11Virginia Tech-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Eaton | 12.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 18.6% | 23.3% | 27.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Robertson | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Vernon | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 4.2% |
| Katherine Byrnes | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| James Corckran | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 24.7% | 38.5% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 26.4% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.