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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+3.78vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.65+4.33vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.53+3.93vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.31+0.66vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38-0.49vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.39+1.46vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.40+0.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.44vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23+0.78vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.57-1.18vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.33-4.47vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.67-3.62vs Predicted
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14Ohio University-0.79-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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6.33Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.93Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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4.66College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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4.51Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.46Old Dominion University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.08College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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10.78Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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9.82Tulane University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.53North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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9.38Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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12.58Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 14.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Caelan Watts | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| David Perez | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Eaton | 13.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Chris Robertson | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 24.9% | 17.5% |
| Cam Farrah | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 9.2% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 6.5% |
| Siri Schantz | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.