Race 12B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
David Perez 7.1% 6.3% 8.8% 8.1% 7.9% 8.1% 9.7% 8.7% 9.3% 7.7% 7.9% 5.8% 3.2% 1.4%
Michael Pinto 11.2% 12.5% 9.3% 10.7% 10.1% 9.1% 9.8% 8.1% 7.1% 5.8% 3.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Ciara Dorsay 5.8% 6.1% 6.8% 6.2% 7.7% 7.1% 7.1% 11.3% 7.3% 10.3% 8.5% 10.1% 4.7% 1.0%
Carrie Marshall 2.7% 2.5% 3.8% 3.8% 3.5% 5.4% 6.1% 5.5% 8.1% 8.9% 12.2% 14.0% 17.0% 6.5%
Andrew Vernon 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 4.2% 6.0% 7.6% 10.3% 13.9% 24.0% 16.6%
Caelan Watts 7.3% 7.1% 8.0% 7.6% 10.1% 8.9% 8.1% 10.0% 7.0% 8.1% 8.2% 5.7% 2.9% 1.0%
Chris Robertson 5.6% 7.2% 8.0% 7.5% 7.2% 7.1% 8.8% 7.9% 10.8% 10.0% 8.9% 5.2% 4.2% 1.6%
Mateo Rodriguez 16.3% 16.1% 13.0% 10.5% 9.7% 8.7% 7.9% 6.3% 5.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Patrick Eaton 14.2% 12.5% 13.9% 12.4% 10.1% 9.8% 8.7% 6.7% 3.9% 3.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Cam Farrah 2.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.7% 5.6% 5.2% 5.3% 6.8% 8.9% 12.6% 15.3% 17.6% 9.1%
Hogan O'Donnell 5.7% 4.8% 5.9% 6.8% 8.0% 7.1% 8.2% 7.5% 11.2% 10.1% 7.9% 10.2% 4.9% 1.7%
Kiera Oreardon 5.8% 5.7% 6.2% 8.6% 6.4% 8.4% 7.7% 9.8% 10.6% 7.6% 9.5% 6.9% 5.3% 1.5%
Samuel Bartel 13.0% 14.7% 11.8% 11.8% 11.2% 9.8% 8.1% 7.3% 4.5% 4.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Siri Schantz 0.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 3.9% 4.5% 7.8% 14.0% 59.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.