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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.31+3.60vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+2.68vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.38+1.41vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.53+2.99vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+0.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.56vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.65-0.76vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.39-0.70vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.67+0.54vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23+0.76vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.57-1.20vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.40-4.67vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.33-5.55vs Predicted
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14Ohio University-0.79-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6College of Charleston2.310.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Wisconsin2.240.2%1st Place
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4.41Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University1.530.0%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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6.24Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.3Old Dominion University1.390.1%1st Place
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9.54Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.76Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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9.8Tulane University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.33College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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7.45North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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12.6Ohio University-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Eaton | 15.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Bartel | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Perez | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Michael Pinto | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Caelan Watts | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Chris Robertson | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 24.1% | 17.2% |
| Cam Farrah | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 9.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Siri Schantz | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.