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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+4.46vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+2.07vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.26+3.47vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82+0.97vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.79vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.50vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98-1.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28-3.62vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Cornell University1.798.7%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University2.4017.1%1st Place
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6.47Old Dominion University1.264.2%1st Place
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4.97George Washington University1.8211.1%1st Place
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4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5715.8%1st Place
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5.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.2%1st Place
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5.2Fordham University1.989.6%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.6%1st Place
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4.75University of Pennsylvania2.1610.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sophia Devling | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 14.4% |
Mateo Di Blasi | 17.1% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
Blake Goodwin | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 30.9% |
Tyler Wood | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% |
Owen Hennessey | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 15.3% |
Jacob Zils | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.4% |
Jack Welburn | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
Jackson McAliley | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.