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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.87+9.62vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.88+4.51vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+5.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+2.01vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.29+7.00vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.23+6.37vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-1.35vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+0.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.94vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.63-3.28vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-6.21vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.74-5.91vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-5.60vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-4.37vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.50-3.94vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.48-9.03vs Predicted
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19Tulane University1.90-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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14.0Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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14.37George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.65Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.72Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.06Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.97University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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14.91Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Alex Cook | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.2% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 21.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.