Race 15B

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

7.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Patrick Eaton 14.7% 13.4% 13.2% 11.4% 10.8% 9.3% 8.1% 5.2% 4.5% 4.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 11.0% 11.7% 9.4% 9.4% 9.8% 9.5% 7.8% 9.4% 8.5% 7.2% 2.6% 2.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Ciara Dorsay 5.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.3% 5.2% 6.5% 7.4% 10.1% 8.5% 11.4% 11.8% 8.3% 4.8% 1.5%
David Perez 5.3% 7.1% 7.7% 6.2% 8.3% 8.4% 8.7% 9.5% 9.0% 10.1% 8.5% 6.0% 4.5% 0.7%
Chris Robertson 4.5% 5.5% 5.8% 7.1% 8.9% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 10.8% 8.6% 10.8% 8.2% 5.8% 1.5%
Adam Larson 9.8% 9.5% 9.3% 11.5% 9.0% 9.9% 9.6% 8.1% 8.1% 6.0% 4.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Samuel Bartel 13.9% 14.9% 10.9% 11.5% 9.1% 10.6% 9.3% 6.4% 5.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Andrew Vernon 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 2.4% 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% 5.1% 5.3% 7.1% 8.7% 14.9% 24.1% 16.5%
Mateo Rodriguez 14.5% 13.0% 12.9% 12.4% 11.1% 9.9% 8.1% 6.8% 4.1% 3.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Siri Schantz 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 3.6% 8.1% 17.1% 60.2%
Kiera Oreardon 5.5% 5.1% 6.1% 5.8% 7.7% 7.8% 8.3% 9.5% 8.9% 10.9% 9.3% 7.3% 6.1% 1.7%
Caelan Watts 7.1% 5.1% 9.3% 7.9% 9.5% 8.1% 9.6% 9.3% 10.3% 7.3% 7.4% 5.8% 2.3% 1.0%
Carrie Marshall 2.9% 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 5.1% 5.6% 7.7% 10.3% 13.1% 15.6% 14.9% 7.1%
Cam Farrah 2.4% 2.5% 2.2% 3.7% 2.9% 4.8% 6.7% 5.4% 7.3% 7.8% 11.7% 17.0% 16.4% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.