Race 16B

charleston-spring-coed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrew Vernon 2.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.7% 2.3% 3.6% 3.0% 4.9% 5.9% 7.2% 11.1% 14.4% 23.2% 16.3%
Ciara Dorsay 5.4% 5.6% 7.1% 7.5% 7.1% 7.1% 7.7% 8.6% 9.4% 10.5% 10.9% 5.7% 6.0% 1.4%
Patrick Eaton 15.2% 13.9% 12.5% 10.8% 10.6% 8.1% 8.2% 6.8% 5.8% 4.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Adam Larson 9.7% 11.7% 9.7% 9.7% 9.1% 10.6% 8.5% 8.4% 8.3% 6.8% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Cam Farrah 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 5.1% 6.3% 6.3% 10.0% 10.6% 15.6% 18.1% 10.5%
David Perez 6.4% 5.8% 5.5% 8.3% 7.9% 9.0% 9.5% 8.0% 9.3% 8.1% 9.1% 7.1% 4.9% 1.1%
Mateo Rodriguez 16.1% 16.0% 13.9% 12.0% 9.1% 9.4% 8.1% 5.2% 4.2% 2.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Caelan Watts 8.0% 7.6% 8.5% 7.5% 8.7% 7.5% 9.5% 8.2% 8.1% 8.6% 8.1% 6.4% 2.8% 0.5%
Samuel Bartel 11.5% 12.4% 12.3% 11.5% 11.8% 8.9% 9.1% 7.4% 6.2% 4.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Chris Robertson 5.4% 4.5% 5.5% 7.0% 8.0% 7.4% 7.7% 8.7% 9.6% 10.4% 8.8% 10.5% 5.2% 1.3%
Michael Pinto 10.2% 8.7% 11.0% 10.0% 8.7% 9.2% 9.3% 9.0% 8.1% 6.5% 3.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Kiera Oreardon 4.4% 6.0% 6.8% 5.9% 7.4% 8.5% 8.1% 10.0% 9.3% 8.7% 10.0% 7.6% 5.8% 1.5%
Siri Schantz 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 4.5% 7.1% 13.9% 60.8%
Carrie Marshall 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 4.6% 6.4% 7.4% 8.5% 12.3% 16.2% 16.7% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.