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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.59+5.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.08+3.07vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+4.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+1.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22-0.26vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.34+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.58+3.06vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.74+1.38vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.84+0.08vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+0.99vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.88-5.30vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.73-5.78vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-0.22-0.70vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.13-5.96vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.59-0.11vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.14-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.74Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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9.38McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University0.840.0%1st Place
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10.99Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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5.7Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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12.3Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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14.89University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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12.21Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Lark | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Robison | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 10.5% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Runci | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Trevor Donovan | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 0.4% |
| Morgan TerMaat | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| John Holt | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 3.7% |
| Severin Gramm | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Giles Ruck | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 25.3% | 10.6% |
| Elliott Gear | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 12.8% | 68.8% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 23.0% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.