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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.88+4.58vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+4.60vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.34+4.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08+1.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+0.46vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.84+3.25vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.73-0.73vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.58+1.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.27-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13-1.73vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.74-1.57vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.14vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-0.14-0.91vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.59+0.87vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.22-2.60vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.22-11.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.6Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University0.840.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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9.43McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.86Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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12.09Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.87University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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12.4Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.77Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severin Gramm | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan TerMaat | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Champney | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Runci | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| Evan Robison | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Gear | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Donovan | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| John Holt | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 10.5% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 66.0% |
| Giles Ruck | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 24.0% | 12.9% |
| Jed Bell | 14.5% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.