Race 3A

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Joey Lark 6.6% 11.2% 8.2% 7.8% 9.1% 9.9% 7.8% 7.8% 7.3% 5.9% 7.4% 4.2% 3.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Bryan Trammell 13.5% 13.8% 11.8% 11.1% 9.1% 8.3% 7.5% 7.7% 4.9% 5.2% 2.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Severin Gramm 11.6% 9.2% 10.6% 11.3% 8.3% 8.7% 8.9% 9.2% 8.1% 4.8% 3.9% 2.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Evan Robison 4.8% 7.3% 6.1% 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.4% 8.1% 7.9% 10.7% 7.2% 7.7% 7.0% 3.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Zachary Champney 8.5% 9.5% 8.5% 9.7% 9.6% 8.9% 8.9% 7.8% 8.2% 7.4% 4.7% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Morgan TerMaat 3.5% 3.1% 3.7% 4.9% 6.4% 6.1% 5.3% 6.7% 7.4% 9.4% 8.9% 10.2% 8.3% 9.1% 5.5% 1.5%
Madeline Pope 7.0% 6.0% 6.5% 6.5% 7.9% 6.3% 8.9% 7.8% 7.0% 8.7% 8.7% 8.5% 5.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Alexander Runci 3.0% 3.0% 4.6% 2.5% 4.6% 4.4% 5.1% 5.8% 8.5% 6.0% 8.8% 9.3% 14.2% 10.4% 7.5% 2.3%
Nicholas Leshaw 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 7.2% 8.0% 11.1% 15.9% 21.6% 10.6%
Jed Bell 14.2% 12.4% 13.9% 10.8% 13.2% 9.3% 7.7% 5.8% 4.2% 4.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Trevor Donovan 4.7% 3.2% 3.7% 5.0% 3.7% 6.7% 4.3% 4.9% 7.5% 8.2% 8.9% 11.3% 10.8% 9.2% 6.0% 1.9%
John Holt 2.6% 2.0% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 4.2% 5.8% 4.9% 4.8% 5.8% 9.4% 9.1% 10.6% 14.6% 14.0% 5.0%
Elliott Gear 4.7% 4.7% 6.3% 6.8% 5.1% 7.5% 7.9% 8.2% 7.7% 8.7% 9.5% 7.6% 7.7% 4.3% 2.9% 0.4%
Giles Ruck 1.7% 1.5% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 4.0% 4.6% 3.9% 6.6% 7.7% 9.9% 17.5% 23.2% 10.9%
Chloe Holder 12.0% 10.7% 10.6% 11.2% 9.2% 9.1% 9.2% 7.6% 6.7% 5.6% 2.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Clayton Greig 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 3.7% 6.2% 14.2% 67.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.