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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+6.57vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.88+3.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.73+2.33vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.59+1.64vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.84+3.25vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98-1.50vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22-3.38vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.58+0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13-1.75vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.74-1.57vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.14+0.07vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-0.22-0.72vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.34-6.63vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-3.96vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.66Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.14Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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6.64Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University0.840.0%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.62Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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9.43McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.07Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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12.28Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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11.04Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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14.95University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Severin Gramm | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 13.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Morgan TerMaat | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 15.0% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Elliott Gear | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Donovan | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 21.2% | 11.3% |
| Giles Ruck | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 24.0% | 10.8% |
| Madeline Pope | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| John Holt | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 3.8% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.