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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.88+4.63vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+5.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+1.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+1.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.08+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.73+0.29vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.13+0.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.34-1.58vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.22+2.38vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.74-1.62vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.84-2.87vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.15vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.58-4.08vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-2.82vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.74Brown University2.220.2%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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6.75Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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12.38Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.38McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.13Northeastern University0.840.0%1st Place
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10.85Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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12.18Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.96University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severin Gramm | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Robison | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jed Bell | 16.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joey Lark | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Pope | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Giles Ruck | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 25.5% | 11.3% |
| Trevor Donovan | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Morgan TerMaat | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| John Holt | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 4.3% |
| Alexander Runci | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 10.7% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 12.5% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.