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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.08+4.02vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+4.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+1.74vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.88+1.85vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.73+1.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98-0.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.34+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.13+0.06vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.74+0.37vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.27-2.25vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.84-1.82vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.14+0.09vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.58-3.07vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.22-1.78vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-3.98vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.57Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.74Brown University2.220.2%1st Place
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5.85Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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9.37McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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9.18Northeastern University0.840.0%1st Place
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12.09Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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12.22Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.02Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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14.96University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Trammell | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 15.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Severin Gramm | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Gear | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Donovan | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Evan Robison | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan TerMaat | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 10.8% |
| Alexander Runci | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Giles Ruck | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 23.1% | 11.4% |
| John Holt | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 15.4% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.