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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+2.21vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.96+1.57vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.97+2.34vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.07vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.93vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71+0.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.19vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.75vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Georgetown University2.2024.5%1st Place
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3.57Cornell University1.9620.2%1st Place
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5.34Old Dominion University0.978.2%1st Place
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6.07St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.5%1st Place
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5.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.916.0%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University0.713.9%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Naval Academy2.0416.5%1st Place
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5.25University of Pennsylvania1.167.8%1st Place
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5.62George Washington University0.937.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 24.5% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 20.2% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 20.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 22.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 16.5% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 9.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.