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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+6.37vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+7.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+4.14vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+1.60vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+3.01vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.63+2.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+1.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-0.11vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.23+3.22vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29+2.31vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-2.19vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.74-7.07vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.87-4.46vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.90-1.87vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.50-4.93vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.48-10.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.6Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.01Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.39Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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14.22George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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14.31Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.93Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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15.13Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.07Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.61University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 17.8% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 17.7% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 30.7% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.