Race 1B

icebreaker-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kyle Nannig 8.9% 11.0% 9.6% 10.4% 9.1% 8.7% 8.7% 7.6% 8.9% 6.6% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Mulcahy 10.6% 10.9% 10.3% 8.9% 10.0% 9.5% 8.5% 7.3% 6.9% 7.8% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Adam 10.1% 7.7% 9.1% 8.7% 9.2% 8.9% 9.6% 10.5% 7.9% 6.8% 5.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Wells Drayton 10.8% 12.3% 10.8% 10.4% 9.8% 9.3% 9.0% 7.9% 7.8% 5.3% 3.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Jordan 9.2% 9.3% 10.5% 9.4% 10.1% 8.6% 9.8% 8.5% 6.6% 7.6% 6.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 4.2% 3.5% 5.1% 6.8% 7.1% 7.0% 7.8% 6.8% 9.1% 8.4% 11.4% 11.8% 8.8% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 5.5% 6.0% 4.5% 7.1% 5.3% 7.3% 8.0% 8.4% 6.9% 10.7% 9.9% 11.4% 7.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
George Higham 15.0% 12.8% 12.4% 10.8% 10.8% 9.4% 7.6% 7.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Gear 11.7% 11.8% 12.3% 9.9% 9.8% 9.9% 7.6% 7.2% 7.3% 6.0% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Ferrarotto 3.8% 3.6% 3.9% 4.4% 4.5% 4.6% 5.3% 8.2% 7.6% 11.0% 13.2% 12.9% 13.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Luke Quine 4.9% 5.2% 5.1% 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 6.8% 7.7% 7.9% 9.9% 13.2% 10.5% 10.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Ashley Arruda 3.3% 4.0% 2.9% 4.7% 5.1% 6.6% 5.6% 5.9% 9.4% 7.7% 9.5% 14.7% 15.8% 4.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Anna Spiro 2.0% 1.6% 2.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 6.7% 7.1% 10.4% 15.4% 24.2% 9.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Jesus Esgueva 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.9% 2.2% 6.2% 42.1% 32.4% 10.9%
Benjamin Nadeau 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 8.7% 22.0% 65.5%
Jillian Casey 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 3.5% 25.6% 43.1% 23.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.