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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.76+4.67vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+3.81vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.10+4.80vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.68+2.14vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.94+0.31vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.73+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89-1.52vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.64-2.00vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-4.13vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.90-1.53vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.99-2.92vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.67-2.96vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.21-2.66vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00+0.07vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-3.37+0.36vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-2.49-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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5.81Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.8Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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5.31Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.94McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.87Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.34Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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14.07Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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15.36University of New Hampshire-3.370.0%1st Place
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14.64Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mulcahy | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 12.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 4.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Spiro | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 24.8% | 9.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 42.0% | 32.4% | 10.9% |
| Benjamin Nadeau | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 8.6% | 22.0% | 65.5% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 24.7% | 43.1% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.