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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.76+4.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.89+1.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+3.45vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.73+2.38vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-2.32vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16-1.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.64-3.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.90-2.10vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.67-2.55vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-4.48vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-2.49+1.31vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-0.66vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-1.27vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-3.37-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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5.4Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.38McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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4.68Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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6.98Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.65Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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8.45Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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14.31Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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13.34Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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13.73Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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15.27University of New Hampshire-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mulcahy | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 16.0% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 13.9% | 22.5% | 35.0% | 21.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 29.7% | 29.9% | 18.5% | 6.5% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 21.1% | 31.2% | 27.3% | 10.0% |
| Benjamin Nadeau | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.