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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.76+4.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.64+3.62vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68+2.61vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.73+4.46vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.890.00vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.73-0.44vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69+1.47vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.67+0.36vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-4.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.90-2.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02-3.59vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-4.89vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00+0.70vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-2.49+0.28vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.76-1.61vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-3.37-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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8.46McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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5.56Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.36Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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4.58Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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7.11Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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13.7Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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14.28Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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13.39Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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15.3University of New Hampshire-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mulcahy | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 12.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 14.7% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 22.6% | 29.4% | 26.7% | 9.1% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 14.1% | 24.9% | 33.0% | 20.7% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 26.5% | 31.5% | 20.2% | 7.4% |
| Benjamin Nadeau | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 19.8% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.