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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.89+2.95vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+5.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.76+1.48vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.67+3.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.73-0.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.90-0.30vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.68-3.50vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.73-1.57vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-6.47vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-4.93vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00+0.70vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-2.49+0.27vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.76-1.61vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-3.37-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.48Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.53Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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8.43McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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4.53Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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7.07Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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13.7Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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14.27Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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13.39Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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15.29University of New Hampshire-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 16.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 4.6% | 23.4% | 28.9% | 26.7% | 9.1% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 13.8% | 24.8% | 33.1% | 20.7% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 27.0% | 31.5% | 20.1% | 7.4% |
| Benjamin Nadeau | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 19.7% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.