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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.67+7.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+3.38vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.68+1.68vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.73+3.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.76-0.57vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69+1.48vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.02-0.62vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16-1.95vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.90-2.09vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.64-5.26vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00+1.71vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-8.07vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-2.49+0.26vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.76-1.59vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-3.37-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.38Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.56Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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8.42McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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5.43Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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7.05Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont0.900.1%1st Place
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5.74Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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13.71Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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14.26Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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13.41Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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15.29University of New Hampshire-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Arruda | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 11.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 7.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 22.4% | 30.1% | 24.7% | 10.8% |
| Grace Gear | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 13.7% | 26.7% | 31.7% | 20.5% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 28.1% | 30.0% | 20.8% | 7.4% |
| Benjamin Nadeau | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 22.4% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.