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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-1.01+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.60+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.64-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.69-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+0.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.24-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.90-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.58University of California at San Diego-0.600.2%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.2%1st Place
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3.72University of California at San Diego-0.640.2%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Berkeley-0.690.2%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.1%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Irvine-1.240.1%1st Place
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5.88University of California at San Diego-1.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konrad Brine | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 6.7% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 18.0% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Kevin Tang | 16.7% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Francesco Olivero | 15.2% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 36.0% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 12.7% |
| Julien Stroumza | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.