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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.69+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.60+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.24+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.64-2.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.01-2.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.90-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of California at Berkeley-0.690.2%1st Place
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3.64University of California at San Diego-0.600.2%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.2%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Irvine-1.240.1%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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3.64University of California at San Diego-0.640.2%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.87University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesco Olivero | 17.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 17.2% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Kevin Tang | 16.4% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 35.9% |
| Amanda Brooks | 17.6% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Konrad Brine | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 7.5% |
| Julien Stroumza | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.