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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+6.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+6.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.87+7.74vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22+5.46vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+5.50vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+0.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.81vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.90+5.20vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.36-1.39vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.36-6.20vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.95vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29+0.13vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.74-7.08vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.48-7.12vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.63-8.63vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.50-4.89vs Predicted
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19George Washington University2.23-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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10.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.81University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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15.2Tulane University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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14.13Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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13.11Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.85George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Colin Smith | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 30.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 13.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 17.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% |
| Meredith Carroll | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.