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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+2.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.30vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+1.85vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.44vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.99vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.70vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.26-0.72vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.93-1.22vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Georgetown University2.4016.2%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.1%1st Place
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4.85George Washington University1.8210.9%1st Place
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4.44University of Pennsylvania2.1613.4%1st Place
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4.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5717.6%1st Place
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5.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.779.3%1st Place
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6.28Old Dominion University1.265.7%1st Place
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6.78Cornell University0.934.2%1st Place
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5.08Fordham University1.988.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 16.2% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 14.1% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.4% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 17.6% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 24.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 36.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.