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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.64+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-1.01+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.60+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.24+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.69-2.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.90-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.74-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of California at San Diego-0.640.2%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.57University of California at San Diego-0.600.2%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Irvine-1.240.1%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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3.75University of California at Berkeley-0.690.2%1st Place
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6.01University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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3.74University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Brooks | 16.4% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Konrad Brine | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 18.8% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 10.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 12.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 21.5% | 33.7% |
| Francesco Olivero | 15.8% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 34.4% |
| Kevin Tang | 17.4% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.