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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.60+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.90+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-1.24+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+2.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-1.01-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.74-2.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.64-3.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.69-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of California at San Diego-0.600.2%1st Place
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6.0University of California at San Diego-1.900.1%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Irvine-1.240.1%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.37University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.2%1st Place
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3.76University of California at San Diego-0.640.2%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Berkeley-0.690.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie-Laure Golier | 18.6% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Julien Stroumza | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 22.5% | 31.7% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 10.3% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 35.8% |
| Konrad Brine | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
| Kevin Tang | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Amanda Brooks | 17.2% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Francesco Olivero | 18.4% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.