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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.60+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.69+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.64-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.90+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.01-1.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.24-2.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of California at San Diego-0.600.2%1st Place
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3.76University of California at Berkeley-0.690.2%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.2%1st Place
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3.7University of California at San Diego-0.640.2%1st Place
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6.03University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Irvine-1.240.1%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie-Laure Golier | 18.7% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Francesco Olivero | 16.0% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Kevin Tang | 16.8% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 16.8% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Julien Stroumza | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 33.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 12.6% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 12.9% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.