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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.60+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.64+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.90+2.91vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.24+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.01-1.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.74-3.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.69-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of California at San Diego-0.600.2%1st Place
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3.72University of California at San Diego-0.640.2%1st Place
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5.91University of California at San Diego-1.900.1%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Irvine-1.240.1%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Davis-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.2%1st Place
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3.67University of California at Berkeley-0.690.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie-Laure Golier | 18.0% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Brooks | 16.6% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Julien Stroumza | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 32.7% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.3% |
| Deven Douglas | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 34.5% |
| Konrad Brine | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 6.9% |
| Kevin Tang | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Francesco Olivero | 17.8% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.