← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Davis-1.76+3.23vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley-0.76+0.73vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-2.87+3.10vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-1.37-0.34vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.51vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles-2.84+0.07vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-2.38-1.62vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-2.43-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23University of California at Davis-1.760.1%1st Place
-
2.73University of California at Berkeley-0.760.3%1st Place
-
6.1University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
-
3.66University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
-
2.49University of California at San Diego-0.580.3%1st Place
-
6.07University of California at Los Angeles-2.840.0%1st Place
-
5.38University of California at Los Angeles-2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.35University of California at Irvine-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Chitouras | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Jonathan Archer | 26.8% | 24.4% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 22.8% | 32.3% |
| Blair Caccam | 14.4% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 32.4% | 25.3% | 19.4% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| John Rapp Farnes | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 22.7% | 30.2% |
| Colin Curtis | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 16.5% |
| Ginger Perez | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.