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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.37+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-2.84+4.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.76-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-1.76+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.38+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-2.43-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.58-4.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.87-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Los Angeles-2.840.0%1st Place
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2.68University of California at Berkeley-0.760.3%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Davis-1.760.1%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Los Angeles-2.380.0%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Irvine-2.430.1%1st Place
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2.53University of California at San Diego-0.580.3%1st Place
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6.06University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Caccam | 14.1% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| John Rapp Farnes | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 24.0% | 31.2% |
| Jonathan Archer | 28.0% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Chitouras | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Colin Curtis | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 14.7% |
| Ginger Perez | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| Tobie Bloom | 32.2% | 25.8% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.