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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-1.76+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.37+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.76-1.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.38+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-2.43-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.84-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.87-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of California at Davis-1.760.1%1st Place
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2.43University of California at San Diego-0.580.3%1st Place
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3.63University of California at San Diego-1.370.2%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Berkeley-0.760.3%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Los Angeles-2.380.0%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Irvine-2.430.1%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Los Angeles-2.840.0%1st Place
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6.06University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Chitouras | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 33.1% | 25.9% | 19.7% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 15.2% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Archer | 26.2% | 24.5% | 21.7% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Colin Curtis | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 21.4% | 14.6% |
| Ginger Perez | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 17.1% |
| John Rapp Farnes | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 32.9% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.