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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.37+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-1.76+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.76-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-2.84+2.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.38-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-2.43-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.87-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Davis-1.760.1%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Berkeley-0.760.3%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Los Angeles-2.840.0%1st Place
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2.45University of California at San Diego-0.580.3%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Los Angeles-2.380.1%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Irvine-2.430.1%1st Place
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6.04University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Caccam | 14.2% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 4.1% |
| Jonathan Archer | 27.1% | 23.5% | 22.0% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| John Rapp Farnes | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 32.3% |
| Tobie Bloom | 32.7% | 26.5% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colin Curtis | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
| Ginger Perez | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 17.1% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.