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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-1.76+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.76-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-2.43+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.38+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.87+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.37-3.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.84-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of California at San Diego-0.580.3%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Davis-1.760.1%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Berkeley-0.760.3%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Irvine-2.430.1%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Los Angeles-2.380.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
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3.68University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Los Angeles-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 34.3% | 27.1% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Chitouras | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Jonathan Archer | 25.5% | 25.6% | 21.9% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ginger Perez | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 16.3% |
| Colin Curtis | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 15.1% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 33.2% |
| Blair Caccam | 14.9% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| John Rapp Farnes | 2.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.