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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.63vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.14+2.75vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63+2.95vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.97+1.10vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20-2.02vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.83vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.07vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63U. S. Naval Academy2.0418.6%1st Place
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4.75Cornell University1.1411.0%1st Place
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5.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.636.5%1st Place
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5.1Old Dominion University0.979.1%1st Place
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2.98Georgetown University2.2026.7%1st Place
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5.93Fordham University0.715.5%1st Place
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5.17University of Pennsylvania1.168.8%1st Place
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5.93St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.1%1st Place
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5.56George Washington University0.937.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Eva Blauvelt | 18.6% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
Ava Gustafson | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
Sabrina Starck | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 19.6% |
Gianna Dewey | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% |
Piper Holthus | 26.7% | 21.2% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 19.4% |
Adra Ivancich | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 19.0% |
Avery Canavan | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.