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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-1.76+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.37+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.76-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.84+1.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-2.43-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.38-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.87-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of California at San Diego-0.580.3%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Davis-1.760.1%1st Place
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3.6University of California at San Diego-1.370.1%1st Place
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2.67University of California at Berkeley-0.760.3%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Los Angeles-2.840.0%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Irvine-2.430.1%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Los Angeles-2.380.0%1st Place
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6.06University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 33.1% | 26.3% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Grace Chitouras | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| Blair Caccam | 14.4% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Archer | 27.6% | 24.8% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| John Rapp Farnes | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 30.5% |
| Ginger Perez | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
| Colin Curtis | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 16.6% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.